June 15, 2026
· 3 minutes read

The First Six Months of 2026

The defining risk of 2026 is not a single geopolitical conflict, cyber incident or economic disruption. It is the growing likelihood that several of these challenges occur simultaneously, creating effects far greater than the sum of their individual parts.

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June 10, 2026
· 6 minutes read

The Surveillance Cup

When the world’s greatest tournament kicks off this week, it will also become the largest live test of the machinery of cross-border control the democratic world has yet staged. The football is the spectacle. The apparatus behind it deserves equal attention. On 11 June 2026, the largest FIFA World Cup…

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June 8, 2026
· 2 minutes read

Disinformation, Deepfakes & Decision-Making Risk

The rapid development of artificial intelligence and digital communication technologies is transforming the information environment in which governments, businesses and institutions operate.

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FIFA World Cup trophy and football under stadium lights, symbolising the intersection of football, politics, and global influence.
"The Beautiful Game’s Ugly Politics"
June 3, 2026
· 7 minutes read

The Beautiful Game’s Ugly Politics

Football and politics have never been separate. In this thought-provoking analysis, Toby Cadman explores how the 2026 FIFA World Cup has become a stage for geopolitical influence, institutional controversy, and commercial interests, raising uncomfortable questions about who truly benefits from the beautiful game.

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May 27, 2026
· 3 minutes read

Energy Security, Resource Competition & Strategic Stability

Energy security has once again emerged as a central issue shaping geopolitical relations, economic stability and strategic decision-making. Global markets continue to face uncertainty driven by regional conflicts, sanctions regimes, supply chain disruptions and increasing competition over critical resources.

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May 25, 2026
· 2 minutes read

Artificial Intelligence, Regulatory Competition & Strategic Exposure

Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming a central area of geopolitical, regulatory and economic competition. Governments across multiple jurisdictions are accelerating efforts to establish legal frameworks governing the development, deployment and oversight of AI technologies.

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May 18, 2026
· 3 minutes read

Political Risk & the Age of Regulatory Uncertainty

Economic instruments have become central to the exercise of geopolitical power. Governments are increasingly using sanctions, export controls, investment restrictions and financial regulation not only as policy tools, but as strategic mechanisms to influence global behaviour.

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May 13, 2026
· 2 minutes read

Critical Infrastructure, Cyber Exposure & Operational Resilience

As governments, corporations and institutions become increasingly dependent on interconnected digital systems, critical infrastructure is emerging as one of the most sensitive areas of strategic risk exposure.

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May 4, 2026
· 3 minutes read

Strategic Risk Snapshot

Economic instruments have become central to the exercise of geopolitical power. Governments are increasingly using sanctions, export controls, investment restrictions and financial regulation not only as policy tools, but as strategic mechanisms to influence global behaviour.

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May 4, 2026
· 3 minutes read

The International Community’s Attention Deficit Disorder

There is a recurring pathology in international affairs: outrage without endurance.

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