Strategic miscalculation can turn geopolitical tensions into a crisis. This briefing examines how misinterpreted signals, competing assumptions and compressed decision-making timelines can increase the risk of unintended escalation, and why testing assumptions is essential to effective crisis prevention.

Organisations have more information about risk than ever before. The challenge is turning that information into timely decisions. Global Risk & Crisis Brief #20 examines the growing gap between risk awareness and strategic action, and why decision readiness is becoming a critical component of resilience.

Trust is becoming a strategic asset in an increasingly fragmented world. As confidence in institutions, partners and international commitments weakens, organisations respond with greater verification, redundancy and contingency planning. The erosion of trust may therefore create significant strategic costs long before it develops into a visible crisis.

The Strait of Hormuz is becoming more than a military flashpoint. As conflict raises risks for oil supplies, shipping and insurance, the greater danger may be a chokepoint that remains technically open but becomes too risky and costly for global commerce.

The Strait of Hormuz is becoming more than a military flashpoint. As conflict raises risks for oil supplies, shipping and insurance, the greater danger may be a chokepoint that remains technically open but becomes too risky and costly for global commerce.

Critical minerals are becoming strategic assets, reshaping supply chains, industrial policy and geopolitical competition. This Strategic Risk Snapshot examines how resource dependencies may create new vulnerabilities for governments and organisations operating internationally.

As geopolitical alliances evolve, organisations must navigate an increasingly complex landscape of strategic partnerships, economic competition and regional security dynamics. This briefing explores how shifting global alignments are reshaping risk, resilience and international decision-making.

As competition over critical technologies intensifies, governments are increasingly treating innovation as a matter of economic security and national strategy. This edition examines how regulatory fragmentation, export controls and technology governance are reshaping the global risk landscape.

As competition over critical technologies intensifies, governments are increasingly treating innovation as a matter of economic security and national strategy. This edition examines how regulatory fragmentation, export controls and technology governance are reshaping the global risk landscape.

Global risk is no longer driven by single events. Energy disruption, AI-enabled cyber threats and climate extremes are increasingly converging into a single challenge for governments, businesses and critical infrastructure. In Global Risk & Crisis Brief #13, we examine why resilience in 2026 depends on preparing for multiple crises at…